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2024-12-13 04:38:37

Bank of Brazil: The agent's views on recent financial announcements have significantly affected asset prices and expectations, especially risk premium, inflation expectations and exchange rate.The Iraqi Foreign Minister talked with the French Foreign Minister to discuss the situation in Syria and combat extremism. On December 11th, local time, Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein talked with French Foreign Minister Barrow. During the call, the two sides agreed that the extremist organization "Islamic State" should be prevented from rebuilding its power. At the same time, the two countries should continue to carry out joint anti-terrorism operations in Syria and Iraq and continue to maintain cooperation in strengthening regional security and stability. The two foreign ministers discussed the security, military and political situation in Syria, and discussed the impact of the Syrian situation on Iraq and the region. The two sides stressed the need to promote the comprehensive political settlement of the Syrian issue led by the United Nations, ensure the full participation of all ethnic groups in Syria and safeguard their rights. The two sides agreed that in addition to communication with relevant countries and Syria's neighbors (including Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon and other Arab countries), Iraq and France should also continue bilateral coordination.Blackstone secured loan fund will issue 300 million USD 5.350% unsecured notes at a fixed price, with a maturity date of 2028.


Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.74%, NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.74%, most popular Chinese stocks fell, Tencent Music fell more than 5%, JD.COM fell more than 3%, Xpeng Motors fell more than 2%, and Bali, Weilai and Pinduoduo fell more than 1%. In terms of gains, Tiger Securities rose more than 3%, while Youdao and Gaotu rose more than 1%.Dozens of people were killed in attacks in Gaza. According to several Palestinian media reports, on the 11th local time, Israeli troops continued to attack many places in Gaza, causing dozens of deaths. Among them, near Kamal Adouan Hospital in the northern part of Gaza, Israeli troops attacked again that day, killing at least 30 people, most of whom were women and children. In addition, on the same day, the Israeli army burned dozens of houses in the Gebali refugee camp in the northern Gaza Strip, and many places such as Deir Balah in the Gaza Strip, Nusailit refugee camp and Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip were also attacked by the Israeli army, causing casualties. (CCTV News)


The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (December 12) The conflict situation: 1. The French President considers deploying a European peacekeeping force in Ukraine. 2. Uzbekistan claims that the city of Zaporoge was attacked by Russian troops, resulting in 6 deaths and 22 injuries. The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia. 4. Russian Ministry of Defence: Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones overnight. 5. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: On December 10th, Ukraine attacked the car in which the experts of the International Atomic Energy Agency were riding, and the attack occurred near the nuclear power plant controlled by Ukraine. 6. Russian media: The Russian side said that it was attacked by six ATACMS missiles today. Russia said it would respond to today's ATACMS missile attack. 7. Governor of Belgorod, Russia: Ukrainian troops fired more than 30 shells in Belgorod within 24 hours, causing no casualties or property losses. 8. US officials: Russia may launch another experimental "Oreshnik" missile to Ukraine in the next few days. The United States focuses on providing Ukraine with an air defense system to defend against Russian missiles and drones. Others: 1. Polish Prime Minister Tusk: He will visit Ukraine in early 2025. 2. Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky categorically rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. 3. German Chancellor Scholz: The Ukrainian energy sector needs a lot of private investment. 4. Sources: NATO may raise its expenditure target to as high as 3% of GDP. 5. Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia. 6. Ukrainian Finance Minister: Ukraine can resist at least until the middle of next year without American assistance. 7. US Treasury Secretary Yellen: US sanctions against Russia "continue to tighten" and have tried to curb Russian income through innovative ways. 8. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The relationship with the United States is in jeopardy, calling on Russian citizens not to travel to the United States. Russia has asked the United States to agree to appoint a new ambassador to the United States. 9. Two sources: Ukrainian President Zelensky used his first meeting with Donald Trump since the US presidential election to show that Ukraine needs security guarantees in any negotiations to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.

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